Solana price risks $70 drop as buyers retreat
Solana price slipped below $73 on Aug. 3 as weak spot demand and sustained capital outflows raised the risk of a drop toward $70.
Summary
- Solana price fell 1.47% to $72.55, placing the token near its daily lower Bollinger Band.
- The 4-hour chart shows SOL below all four tracked moving averages, with the 200-period SMA at $76.79.
- Chaikin Money Flow dropped to -0.17, indicating that selling pressure continued to outweigh buying demand.
- Liquidation liquidity is concentrated near $73.50–$74.50, making that zone the first major upside test.
Solana price extends its decline below $73
According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price traded at $72.55 on Aug. 3, down 1.47% on the daily chart after moving between an intraday high of $73.67 and a low of $71.98.
The decline extended a broader pullback from the July high near $82.50. SOL has formed a sequence of lower highs since that peak, with sellers defending rebounds around $78 and then $76.
Price has now fallen below the daily Bollinger Band midpoint at $75.09. This level previously acted as support but has turned into the first major resistance area.
SOL briefly moved below the lower Bollinger Band at $71.49 before recovering above $72. That reaction shows buyers remain active around $71.50–$72, but the limited rebound suggests they have not regained control.
The Awesome Oscillator stood at -3.56, with its red bars expanding below zero. That reading points to strengthening bearish momentum on the daily timeframe rather than an immediate trend reversal.
Flat spot demand weakens SOL’s recovery
Solana attempted to rebound after falling toward $71 on Aug. 2, but spot demand failed to recover alongside price.
Analyst Ted Pillows described the divergence as a sign of weakness.
“$SOL is bouncing back. But spot demand is flat. Sign of weakness.”
The 4-hour Chaikin Money Flow reading supports that view. CMF fell to -0.17, meaning more capital was leaving SOL than entering it during the measured period.
Declining spot participation can leave a rebound dependent on leveraged derivatives positions. Such moves are more vulnerable to reversals because they lack the direct buying pressure needed to absorb new selling.
The weakness also comes as activity tied to speculative Solana tokens cools from previous peaks. Lower decentralized exchange activity and weaker fee generation would reduce one source of demand for SOL, which traders need to pay network fees and interact with on-chain applications.
Four-hour indicators keep sellers in control
Solana remains below every major moving average displayed on the 4-hour chart. The 20-period SMA stands at $72.96, followed by the 50-period SMA at $73.88 and the 100-period SMA at $75.06.
The 200-period SMA, currently near $76.79, represents the strongest overhead technical barrier. SOL would need to reclaim that level to weaken the current sequence of lower highs.
The moving averages are also bearishly ordered, with each shorter-term average sitting below the longer-term measures. That structure suggests the decline is established across several trading horizons.
A move above $72.96 could open a retest of $73.88. The $73.88–$75.06 range is particularly important because it combines two moving averages with liquidity visible on the three-day liquidation heatmap.
Failure to reclaim that area would leave SOL exposed to another test of $71.50. A daily close below the lower Bollinger Band could bring $70 into focus, followed by the June support region near $67.50.
Liquidation clusters could increase volatility
CoinGlass’ three-day liquidation heatmap shows the largest nearby concentration of leveraged positions above the current price, particularly around $73.50–$74.
Additional liquidity appears near $74.50 and $76, creating potential targets if SOL begins a short-covering rebound. A move into these clusters could force bearish traders to close positions, accelerating the recovery.
However, liquidity also appears below the market around $71.50 and $70. These clusters could attract price if support near $72 fails.
This leaves SOL between competing liquidity zones. The closer upside concentration could produce a short-term bounce, but the weak CMF reading and bearish moving-average structure suggest any recovery must be confirmed by stronger spot buying.
Fee-burn vote offers Solana a potential catalyst
SolanaFloor reported that proposals addressing Solana’s fee burn and token disinflation were set to enter an initial vote on Aug. 3.
According to the report, the measures would double annual disinflation to 30%, remove about $1.36 billion in projected token issuance over six years and increase daily burns from roughly 650 SOL to 9,000 SOL.
Those figures remain projected outcomes rather than confirmed changes. The proposals must progress through governance before they can alter SOL’s supply dynamics.
For US investors, the immediate backdrop also remains tied to broader risk appetite. High-beta tokens such as SOL can face added pressure when elevated Treasury yields make lower-risk dollar assets more attractive. A shift in Federal Reserve expectations or US yields could therefore affect whether buyers return at the current support zone.
The short-term outlook remains bearish below $75.06. Reclaiming that level would improve the setup and expose $76.79, while a confirmed break below $71.49 would increase the risk of a move toward $70.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
