Zcash price pulls back to key trendline support, is a bounce still likely?

Zcash price fell over 18% from its weekly high to $232, a level that aligns with a key trendline support that could determine whether the current pullback stabilizes or extends further.

According to data from crypto.news, Zcash (ZEC) price shot up to a monthly high of $284 on Tuesday before falling back to $232 at the time of writing.

Zcash price dipped along with the entire crypto market amid a confluence of geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty arising from the U.S.-Iran war and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone for interest rate cuts for this year, as it points to persistent inflation as a major concern.

Following the recent drop, the second-largest privacy coin by market cap has consolidated near a descending trendline that it had turned into support following its breakout above it this week. If the token manages to hold the line, it could bounce back to test earlier highs. However, failure to hold above the dynamic support could lead to a deeper correction.

Looking at additional technical indicators gives a more grounded view of the possible outlook for the privacy-focused asset. The Supertrend indicator, which helps traders identify prevailing trend directions, has flipped green since Tuesday, a sign that the underlying momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls.

On top of this, the RSI line has formed a bullish divergence with Zcash price since early January this year. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows while the indicator makes higher lows. It means that the downward selling pressure is losing its grip despite the falling prices.

Hence, Zcash will likely bounce from the $230 support to $265, the current position of the super trendline, and then to the psychological resistance at $300 if bullish momentum remains strong.

However, if the bearish sentiment prevailing in the broader market latches on to the token’s price action and it loses the $230 support, a drop to $200 becomes a very real possibility.

Zcash price has a few fundamental catalysts lined up that could support the technical recovery.

First, the total amount of Zcash held in shielded pools currently accounts for over 30% of the total circulating supply. A surge in this metric means that a greater number of traders are now engaging with the core functionality of the network. This could attract more institutional interest as privacy becomes a more sought-after feature in the digital asset space.

Additionally, the 2026 roadmap for Zcash includes the Crosslink project, which is a move towards a hybrid Proof of Stake model. This transition is expected to lower sell-side pressure from miners and align the network with institutional ESG standards, potentially opening the door for new capital inflows.