TON Price Prediction: Toncoin Eyes $3.75 Recovery Despite Bearish Momentum – September 2025 Forecast

Rongchai Wang
Sep 02, 2025 07:52

TON price prediction suggests a challenging path to $3.75 resistance, with immediate support at $3.02. Analysts forecast mixed sentiment through September 2025.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• TON short-term target (1 week): $3.40-$3.55 (+8-13%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.60-$3.98 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.64
• Critical support if bearish: $3.02 (immediate) / $2.96 (strong)

Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest TON price prediction landscape reveals a divided analyst community heading into September 2025. CoinCodex presents the most optimistic outlook with a $3.98 target by September 3rd, while WalletInvestor takes a more conservative stance predicting $2.37 on September 2nd.

The Toncoin forecast consensus shows interesting convergence around the $3.40-$3.55 range for medium-term targets. Gov.Capital’s $3.55 prediction aligns closely with PriceForecastBot’s $3.41 September 29th target, suggesting this price zone represents fair value based on current technical conditions.

What’s particularly noteworthy is that despite bearish short-term sentiment from WalletInvestor, most analysts maintain medium confidence levels rather than high conviction in either direction. This uncertainty reflects TON’s current position within a consolidation phase, trading below key moving averages but above critical support levels.

TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Breakout

The Toncoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency at a critical juncture. With TON trading at $3.14, just above the pivot point of $3.13, the immediate price action will likely determine the next significant move.

The RSI reading of 44.15 places Toncoin in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought. This positioning suggests room for movement in either direction, though the MACD histogram at -0.0196 indicates bearish momentum remains in control. The MACD signal line divergence confirms short-term selling pressure hasn’t fully subsided.

TON’s position within the Bollinger Bands tells a compelling story. At 0.2708 on the %B indicator, Toncoin sits in the lower portion of the bands, suggesting potential oversold conditions that could lead to a mean reversion toward the middle band at $3.26.

Volume analysis from Binance shows $11.26 million in 24-hour trading, which represents moderate but not exceptional interest. For a sustained breakout above $3.64 resistance, we’d expect to see volume expansion above $15-20 million daily.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for TON

The TON price target for bulls centers on reclaiming the $3.64 immediate resistance level. Once broken, this opens the path to $3.75 strong resistance, representing a potential 19.7% gain from current levels.

For this bullish scenario to unfold, TON needs to accomplish several technical milestones. First, a decisive close above the EMA 26 at $3.24 would signal momentum shift. Second, the MACD histogram must turn positive, confirming the end of bearish momentum. Finally, RSI needs to break above 50 to confirm bullish momentum.

Should these conditions align, the ultimate TON price target reaches toward the upper Bollinger Band at $3.53, with extension potential to the 52-week high around $5.95 in a broader bull market scenario.

Bearish Risk for Toncoin

The downside scenario becomes concerning if TON breaks below the immediate support at $3.02. This would trigger algorithmic selling and potentially push Toncoin toward the strong support zone at $2.96.

A break of $2.96 would align with WalletInvestor’s bearish Toncoin forecast of $2.37, representing a 24.5% decline from current levels. The technical setup supporting this scenario includes sustained MACD divergence, failure to reclaim moving averages, and RSI dropping below 40.

Risk factors to monitor include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting Telegram’s ecosystem, and any technical issues with the TON network that could undermine confidence.

Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy

The current technical setup suggests a nuanced approach rather than aggressive positioning. For those wondering buy or sell TON, the answer depends heavily on risk tolerance and timeframe.

Conservative Entry Strategy: Wait for a clear break above $3.24 (EMA 26) with increased volume before establishing positions. This confirmation would target the $3.40-$3.55 range with stop-loss at $3.02.

Aggressive Entry Strategy: Current levels around $3.14 offer reasonable risk-reward if you’re willing to accept immediate support failure. Target $3.64 resistance with a tight stop-loss at $3.08.

Risk Management: Position sizing should remain conservative given the mixed signals. Consider 2-3% portfolio allocation maximum, with clear exit strategies at both profit targets and stop-loss levels.

TON Price Prediction Conclusion

Based on comprehensive analysis, our TON price prediction for September 2025 targets the $3.40-$3.75 range with medium confidence. The technical setup suggests a period of consolidation before the next significant move, with the direction largely dependent on broader market conditions.

Key indicators to watch for confirmation include MACD histogram turning positive, RSI breaking above 50, and volume expansion above $15 million daily. For invalidation, monitor breaks below $3.02 support and sustained trading below the 200-day SMA at $3.21.

The Toncoin forecast timeline suggests resolution of current uncertainty within 2-3 weeks, coinciding with the September predictions from major analysts. Until then, expect continued volatility within the $3.02-$3.64 range as TON searches for its next directional catalyst.

Confidence Level: Medium (65%) for upside targets, with high probability of range-bound trading through early September 2025.

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