Prediction markets will scale as far as their resolution infrastructure allows

Prediction markets will scale as far as their resolution infrastructure allows

Prediction market volume scales every month, as resolution infrastructure becomes a bottleneck. Opaque outcomes drive capital to headline markets only.

Opinion by: David Azubike, lead analyst at Blocksquare

Prediction markets are no longer an experimental corner of crypto. Data now shows something durable: a financial category with sustained volume, diversified participation and increasing institutional attention. Prediction markets are emerging as a new “arbitrage arena” for crypto traders.

Monthly notional volume in prediction markets scaled to more than $13 billion by late 2025 from less than $100 million in early 2024 as markets diversified across verticals, according to a joint research report from Dune and Keyrock

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